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Mastering Price Action Trading: Unlocking Market Secrets

Mastering Price Action Trading: Unlocking Market Secrets - Trading Strategies

The Forex market, a dynamic arena where trillions of dollars change hands daily, has seen its share of turbulence in the first half of 2025. Geopolitical tensions, evolving trade policies, and the diverging paths of major central banks have fueled significant volatility, making adaptive strategies more crucial than ever. While some central banks, like the Federal Reserve, have held interest rates steady, others, such as the European Central Bank, have moved towards rate cuts, creating distinct shifts in currency values and presenting both challenges and opportunities for traders. In such an environment, how can traders, especially those new to the market or looking to refine their approach, navigate the complexities and make informed decisions?

Many traders often find themselves overwhelmed by a multitude of technical indicators, each promising to reveal the market's next move. However, a growing number of successful traders are turning to a more fundamental, yet incredibly powerful, approach: price action trading. This method strips away the clutter, focusing solely on the raw movement of price on a chart to understand market psychology and predict future direction. Can you truly trade profitably without relying on a complex array of indicators? The answer, for many, is a resounding yes. This comprehensive guide will delve into the world of price action trading, revealing how it can simplify your analysis, enhance your decision-making, and provide a resilient framework for navigating even the most unpredictable market conditions in 2025 and beyond.

What is Price Action Trading?

At its core, price action trading is the discipline of making trading decisions based on the naked price chart, without the use of lagging technical indicators. It's the study of how price moves over time, reflecting the collective behavior, beliefs, and actions of all market participants – from individual retail traders to large institutional players. Every tick, every candle, tells a story about the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers, and a price action trader learns to "read" this story directly from the chart.

Why is this approach so powerful? Because price is the ultimate truth. All indicators, no matter how sophisticated, are derived from price. This means they inherently lag, providing signals based on what has already happened. Price action, on the other hand, offers a real-time, unfiltered view of supply and demand dynamics. When prices are rising, it signifies that buyers are in control; when they are falling, sellers dominate. A sideways market indicates a period of indecision or consolidation. By focusing on these raw movements, traders can gain a deeper, more intuitive understanding of market dynamics and anticipate potential shifts before indicators even register them.

This method stands in stark contrast to traditional technical analysis that heavily relies on mathematical formulas and algorithms to generate signals. While technical indicators can be useful tools, an over-reliance on them can lead to conflicting signals, chart clutter, and delayed entries or exits, especially for beginners. Price action trading, often referred to as "naked trading," aims to cut through this noise, providing a clearer, more direct assessment of market sentiment and potential direction.

The Core Components of Price Action

To effectively trade price action, you need to understand its fundamental building blocks. These are the visual cues and patterns that reveal market behavior and provide actionable insights.

Candlestick Patterns: The Language of Price

Candlesticks are the primary visual tool for price action traders. Each candlestick on your chart tells a concise story about price movement within a specific timeframe, displaying the open, high, low, and close (OHLC) prices. By observing the size, shape, and position of these candles, you can gauge buying and selling pressure, volatility, and potential reversals or continuations.

For a deeper dive into interpreting these vital visual cues, consider exploring our guide on Mastering Forex Trading Candlesticks: A Comprehensive Guide.

Key Candlestick Patterns to Master:

  • Hammer and Hanging Man: These single-candle patterns have small bodies and long lower (Hammer) or upper (Hanging Man) wicks, indicating a rejection of lower or higher prices, respectively. A Hammer at support in an downtrend suggests potential bullish reversal, while a Hanging Man at resistance in an uptrend signals potential bearish reversal.
  • Engulfing Patterns (Bullish/Bearish): A powerful two-candle reversal pattern where the second candle's body completely "engulfs" the body of the first candle. A Bullish Engulfing pattern at support suggests strong buying pressure, while a Bearish Engulfing pattern at resistance indicates strong selling pressure.
  • Doji: A candle with a very small or non-existent body, where the open and close prices are nearly the same. Dojis indicate indecision in the market. When they appear after a strong trend, they can signal a potential reversal as momentum wanes.
  • Pin Bar: Similar to a Hammer or Shooting Star, a Pin Bar has a long "nose" or "tail" (wick) that protrudes significantly from the body, indicating a strong rejection of a price level. A bullish Pin Bar has a long lower wick, while a bearish Pin Bar has a long upper wick.
  • Inside Bar: A two-candle pattern where the second candle's entire range (high to low) is contained within the range of the first candle (the "mother bar"). Inside bars often indicate consolidation or indecision and can precede a strong breakout. They are often traded as continuation patterns in the direction of the prevailing trend.

Understanding these patterns in isolation is a start, but their true power emerges when interpreted within the context of support and resistance levels and overall market structure.

Support and Resistance: The Invisible Walls of Price

Support and resistance (S/R) levels are fundamental to price action trading. These are price zones where buying or selling pressure is strong enough to temporarily halt or reverse price movement.

  • Support: A price level where buying interest is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Think of it as a "floor" for the price.
  • Resistance: A price level where selling interest is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. Think of it as a "ceiling" for the price.

How to Identify and Use S/R:

  • Swing Highs and Lows: The most obvious S/R levels are formed by previous swing highs (resistance) and swing lows (support). These are points where the market previously reversed direction.
  • Psychological Levels: Round numbers (e.g., 1.1000, 1.2500) often act as strong psychological S/R levels because many traders place orders around them.
  • Broken S/R (Flip Zones): A crucial concept in price action is that once a support level is broken, it often turns into new resistance, and vice versa. This "flip" provides excellent trading opportunities for retests.

Drawing S/R levels effectively requires practice. Focus on areas where price has reacted multiple times, showing clear bounces or rejections. These are the most significant levels.

Trend Lines and Channels: Mapping Market Direction

Trend lines are diagonal lines drawn on a chart to connect a series of higher lows in an uptrend or lower highs in a downtrend. They visually represent the direction and slope of a trend.

  • Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting at least two significant swing lows, acting as dynamic support.
  • Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting at least two significant swing highs, acting as dynamic resistance.

Trading with Trend Lines:

  • Bounces: Price often bounces off a valid trend line, offering continuation trade opportunities.
  • Breaks: A decisive break of a trend line can signal a potential trend reversal or a shift in market structure.
  • Channels: When you can draw a parallel line to a trend line that contains the price action, you have a channel. Price tends to oscillate within these channels, providing opportunities to buy at the bottom of an uptrend channel and sell at the top of a downtrend channel.

Market Structure: The Blueprint of Price Movement

Understanding market structure is paramount for price action traders. It involves identifying the sequence of swing highs and swing lows to determine whether the market is trending, ranging, or reversing.

  • Uptrend: Characterized by a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
  • Downtrend: Characterized by a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL).
  • Ranging/Consolidation: Price moves sideways, without clear higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows, often bouncing between defined support and resistance levels.

Why Market Structure Matters:

Identifying the prevailing market structure helps you align your trades with the path of least resistance. Trading with the trend is generally safer and more profitable. A shift in market structure (e.g., an uptrend failing to make a new higher high and then breaking a previous higher low) can signal a potential reversal, prompting you to adjust your bias. For more on adapting to different market conditions, refer to our post on Mastering Forex Market Regimes: Identify & Trade Trends, Ranges, and Volatility.

Why Trade with Price Action?

The popularity of price action trading among Forex traders is not accidental; it stems from several compelling advantages that make it a robust and adaptable approach, especially in today's volatile markets.

Simplicity and Clarity

One of the most appealing aspects of price action trading is its simplicity. By removing the clutter of multiple indicators, your charts become "naked" or "clean," allowing you to focus solely on what the price is doing. This clarity reduces information overload and conflicting signals, which can be particularly beneficial for beginner and intermediate traders who are still developing their market intuition. A clean chart allows for a more direct and intuitive understanding of market dynamics.

Leading Nature

Unlike indicators that are derived from past price data and therefore lag, price action is a leading indicator. The price itself is the most current reflection of market sentiment and supply/demand. By observing how price reacts to key levels, forms patterns, and shifts its structure, you are essentially reading the market's pulse in real-time. This allows for quicker decision-making and potentially earlier entries into new trends or reversals.

Adaptability Across Markets and Timeframes

Price action principles are universal. Whether you're trading Forex, stocks, commodities, or cryptocurrencies, the underlying dynamics of supply and demand, and the resulting price patterns, remain consistent. Furthermore, price action works across all timeframes – from short-term scalping charts (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute) to longer-term swing trading charts (e.g., daily, weekly). This versatility means you can apply the same core concepts regardless of your preferred trading style.

Universality and Market Psychology

Price action reflects the collective psychology of market participants. Recurring patterns emerge because human behavior, driven by fear and greed, tends to repeat itself under similar market conditions. Understanding these patterns allows you to anticipate how the crowd might react at certain price levels, giving you an edge. It's about understanding the "why" behind the price movement, not just the "what."

Complements Automated Trading

While price action is often associated with discretionary manual trading, its rule-based nature makes it highly suitable for automation. The clear, objective rules for identifying candlestick patterns, support/resistance levels, and market structure shifts can be translated into algorithms and Expert Advisors (EAs). This allows traders to backtest their price action strategies rigorously and execute trades with discipline and speed, removing emotional biases. For more on how automation can enhance your trading, see our guide on Best Forex Robot EA 2025: Complete Guide to Automated Trading Success.

Key Price Action Strategies for Beginners and Intermediate Traders

Now that we've covered the core components, let's explore some practical price action strategies you can start implementing. These strategies focus on high-probability setups derived directly from price behavior.

Reversal Strategies

Reversal strategies aim to identify points where a trend is likely to change direction.

  • Pin Bar Reversals at Support/Resistance:

    • Concept: A Pin Bar (long wick, small body) appearing at a significant support or resistance level signals a strong rejection of that level.
    • Bullish Setup: In a downtrend, look for a bullish Pin Bar (long lower wick) forming at a strong support level. This indicates buyers stepped in aggressively to reject lower prices.
    • Bearish Setup: In an uptrend, look for a bearish Pin Bar (long upper wick) forming at a strong resistance level. This indicates sellers stepped in aggressively to reject higher prices.
    • Entry: Enter on the break of the Pin Bar's nose (for bullish) or tail (for bearish).
    • Stop Loss: Place stop loss beyond the extreme of the Pin Bar's wick.
    • Example: Imagine EUR/USD has been in a downtrend and approaches a historical support level at 1.0800. A large bullish Pin Bar forms right at 1.0800, with its long lower wick extending below the support but closing back above it. This signals a strong rejection of 1.0800, indicating a potential reversal.
  • Engulfing Bar Reversals at Support/Resistance:

    • Concept: A two-candle pattern where the second candle's body completely covers the first candle's body, indicating a strong shift in momentum.
    • Bullish Setup: In a downtrend, a small bearish candle is followed by a large bullish candle that completely engulfs the previous one, forming at a support level. This shows buyers have taken control.
    • Bearish Setup: In an uptrend, a small bullish candle is followed by a large bearish candle that completely engulfs the previous one, forming at a resistance level. This shows sellers have taken control.
    • Entry: Enter on the close of the engulfing bar or on the retest of the engulfing bar's range.
    • Stop Loss: Place stop loss beyond the low of the bullish engulfing bar or high of the bearish engulfing bar.
    • Example: GBP/USD is in an uptrend and hits a resistance level at 1.2750. A small bullish candle forms, followed by a large bearish candle that opens above the first candle's close and closes below its open, completely covering its body. This bearish engulfing pattern at resistance suggests a strong reversal is likely.
  • Double Top/Bottom Patterns:

    • Concept: Classic chart patterns indicating a reversal. A Double Top forms after an uptrend, with two peaks at roughly the same resistance level, separated by a trough. A Double Bottom forms after a downtrend, with two troughs at roughly the same support level, separated by a peak.
    • Entry: For a Double Top, enter short on the break below the "neckline" (the low point between the two peaks). For a Double Bottom, enter long on the break above the "neckline" (the high point between the two troughs).
    • Stop Loss: Place stop loss above the second peak (Double Top) or below the second trough (Double Bottom).
    • Target: Measure the height of the pattern from the peak/trough to the neckline and project that distance from the breakout point.

Continuation Strategies

Continuation strategies aim to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend after a temporary pause or pullback.

  • Trend Line Bounces:

    • Concept: In a strong trend, price often pulls back to the trend line before continuing in the original direction.
    • Setup: Identify a clear uptrend (higher highs, higher lows) with a well-defined uptrend line. Wait for price to pull back to the trend line and show a bullish price action signal (e.g., a bullish Pin Bar or Engulfing pattern) at or near the trend line.
    • Entry: Enter long on the confirmation of the bullish signal.
    • Stop Loss: Place stop loss below the trend line and the low of the signal candle.
    • Example: USD/JPY is in a strong uptrend. After a brief pullback, price touches the ascending trend line, and a bullish Engulfing pattern forms. This is a high-probability setup to enter long, expecting the trend to continue.
  • Breakout and Retest of Support/Resistance or Trend Lines:

    • Concept: When price breaks a significant S/R level or trend line, it often "retests" that level from the other side before continuing in the direction of the breakout. This retest offers a lower-risk entry point.
    • Setup: Identify a strong resistance level. Price breaks above it with strong momentum. Wait for price to pull back to the newly formed support level (former resistance). Look for a bullish price action signal at this retest level.
    • Entry: Enter on the confirmation of the bullish signal at the retest.
    • Stop Loss: Place stop loss below the retested level.
    • Example: The EUR/USD has been consolidating below a resistance level at 1.0950. Price then breaks decisively above 1.0950. After a few candles, it pulls back to retest 1.0950, which now acts as support. A bullish Pin Bar forms at 1.0950, confirming the retest and signaling a continuation of the upward move. This is a classic "support-resistance flip" scenario.

Range Trading Strategies

Range trading involves profiting from price oscillating between well-defined support and resistance levels in a sideways market.

  • Fading the Extremes of a Range:

    • Concept: In a ranging market, price repeatedly bounces between a clear support and resistance zone. Traders can sell at resistance and buy at support.
    • Setup: Identify a clear range with at least two touches of both support and resistance. Wait for price to reach the resistance level and show a bearish price action signal (e.g., bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star). Or, wait for price to reach the support level and show a bullish price action signal (e.g., bullish Engulfing, Hammer).
    • Entry: Enter short at resistance or long at support on the confirmation of the signal.
    • Stop Loss: Place stop loss just beyond the resistance (for short) or support (for long).
    • Target: The opposite side of the range.
    • Example: AUD/USD is trading in a tight range between 0.6800 (support) and 0.6900 (resistance). Price hits 0.6900, and a large bearish Engulfing pattern forms. This is an opportunity to sell, targeting 0.6800.
  • Identifying False Breakouts:

    • Concept: Sometimes, price will briefly break out of a range or S/R level, only to quickly reverse back into the original range. These are "false breakouts" and can offer powerful reversal opportunities.
    • Setup: Price breaks above resistance but quickly closes back below it, often forming a large wick or an Engulfing pattern that traps breakout traders.
    • Entry: Enter in the opposite direction of the false breakout once price re-enters the range and confirms the reversal.
    • Stop Loss: Place stop loss beyond the extreme of the false breakout.
    • Example: USD/CAD is ranging. Price attempts to break above resistance at 1.3500, but a large bearish Pin Bar forms, with its long upper wick extending above 1.3500 but closing back inside the range. This signals a false breakout, and a short entry can be considered.

Integrating Price Action with Other Concepts (Subtle Enhancements)

While price action emphasizes trading without indicators, it doesn't mean ignoring other crucial market dynamics. Instead, price action can be powerfully enhanced by understanding the broader context of the market.

Timeframes: Gaining Perspective

Multi-timeframe analysis is a technique where traders look at the same currency pair across different timeframes (e.g., daily, 4-hour, 1-hour) to gain a comprehensive view of the market.

  • Higher Timeframe (HTF): Used to identify the overall trend, major support and resistance levels, and dominant market structure. This provides the "big picture" context.
  • Lower Timeframe (LTF): Used for precise entry and exit timing, looking for price action signals that align with the HTF bias.

How it enhances Price Action: A bullish Pin Bar on a 1-hour chart is more significant if it forms at a major daily support level and aligns with an overall uptrend on the daily chart. This confluence of signals from different timeframes significantly increases the probability of a successful trade. While we don't have a dedicated multi-timeframe analysis post, the principles of adapting strategies to market conditions are discussed in Adaptive Automated Forex Trading Strategies: Navigating Market Regimes with EAs.

Economic News & Central Bank Decisions: Trading the Impact

Forex markets are highly sensitive to economic data releases (like CPI, NFP, GDP) and central bank announcements (interest rate decisions, policy statements). These events can cause sharp, sudden price movements.

  • Price Action as a Reaction Tool: While price action traders typically avoid trading during high-impact news releases due to unpredictable volatility, they can use price action to trade after the news. How price reacts to a news event at key S/R levels can provide clear signals. For instance, if a strong economic report is released, but price fails to break resistance and forms a bearish Pin Bar, it suggests the news was already "priced in" or that sellers are still dominant at that level.
  • Understanding Market Sentiment: Price action can reflect underlying market sentiment even when news seems contradictory. For example, if positive news is released but the currency weakens, it might indicate that the market was already heavily long, and the news triggered profit-taking or a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario. Our article on How to Analyze Forex News and Its Impact on the Market: A Comprehensive Guide provides further insights into navigating news events.

The first half of 2025 has been a prime example of how central bank policies and economic data drive market sentiment. The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts, the ECB's progressive cuts, and the Bank of Japan's first rate hike in 17 years have all created distinct price action responses in major currency pairs. Price action analysis helps traders interpret these reactions and position themselves accordingly.

Market Sentiment: Reading the Crowd's Mood

Market sentiment refers to the overall attitude or "mood" of traders towards a particular currency pair or the market as a whole. While sentiment indicators exist, price action itself is a powerful reflection of sentiment.

  • Strong Trends: A sustained series of higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) indicates strong bullish sentiment.
  • Rejection at Levels: Repeated rejections of a resistance level, especially with bearish candlestick patterns, indicate a bearish sentiment at that price point.
  • Consolidation: Periods of tight consolidation often reflect indecision or a balance between buyers and sellers, indicating neutral sentiment.

By observing price action, you can gauge whether the collective market is bullish, bearish, or neutral, and align your trades with the prevailing flow. This is crucial because sometimes markets move against logical fundamental news due to underlying sentiment. For more on this, refer to Mastering Forex Market Sentiment: A Practical Guide for Traders.

Practical Application: Building a Price Action Trading Plan

A successful price action trading journey requires a structured approach. Here's a step-by-step guide to building your trading plan:

Step 1: Identify Market Structure and Trend

Before looking for any specific patterns, determine the overall market direction on your preferred higher timeframe (e.g., daily or 4-hour chart). Is it an uptrend (HH, HL), downtrend (LH, LL), or a range? Trading with the trend significantly increases your probability of success.

Step 2: Mark Key Support and Resistance Levels

Draw the most significant horizontal support and resistance levels on your chart. These are the "hot zones" where price is most likely to react. Also, draw relevant trend lines and channels. Focus on clear, well-respected levels.

Step 3: Look for Confluence

Confluence is when multiple price action elements align to give a stronger signal. For example, a bullish Pin Bar forming exactly at a major support level, which also happens to be a retested broken resistance, and aligns with the overall uptrend on a higher timeframe – that's high confluence. The more elements that align, the stronger the potential trade setup. Our article on Mastering Confluence Trading in Forex: A Comprehensive Guide to High-Probability Setups provides a detailed explanation of this powerful concept.

Step 4: Identify Entry Signals

Once you have identified a high-confluence area, wait for a specific price action entry signal. This could be one of the candlestick patterns discussed earlier (Pin Bar, Engulfing Bar, Inside Bar) or a chart pattern (Double Top/Bottom, Flag breakout). Patience is key here; don't force a trade if the signal isn't clear.

Step 5: Define Stop Loss and Take Profit

Risk management is paramount in Forex trading. Based on your price action analysis, determine logical stop loss and take profit levels.

  • Stop Loss: For reversal patterns, place your stop loss just beyond the extreme of the signal candle or the S/R level. For continuation patterns, place it beyond the pullback low/high. This ensures your risk is defined and limited. For a detailed understanding of protecting your capital, read Forex Risk Management: The Ultimate Guide to Protecting Your Capital and How to Manage Risk in Forex: The 1% Rule Explained.
  • Take Profit: Identify the next significant support or resistance level as your initial take profit target. Aim for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or higher), meaning your potential profit is at least twice your potential loss.

Step 6: Backtesting and Practice

The only way to truly master price action is through consistent practice and backtesting. Use historical data to test your identified strategies and patterns. This will build your confidence and refine your eye for setups. Our guide on Forex Backtesting: How to Test Your Strategy the Smart Way offers valuable insights into this crucial step. Start with a demo account to practice live trading without risking real capital.

Common Mistakes to Avoid in Price Action Trading

While price action offers a simplified approach, it's not without its pitfalls. Being aware of common mistakes can help you avoid them:

  • Trading in Isolation (Ignoring Context): Looking at a single Pin Bar without considering the overall trend, nearby S/R levels, or higher timeframe context is a recipe for false signals. Always seek confluence.
  • Over-Reliance on Single Patterns: No single candlestick pattern guarantees success. It's the context in which the pattern appears that gives it significance.
  • Ignoring Risk Management: Even the best price action setup can fail. Always define your stop loss before entering a trade and adhere to proper position sizing. This is the golden rule of trading.
  • Not Adapting to Market Conditions: Price action works in all market conditions, but different strategies are more effective in trending vs. ranging markets. Be flexible and adapt your approach based on the current market regime.
  • Impatience: Waiting for the perfect setup is crucial. Don't chase trades or enter prematurely. Price action trading rewards patience and discipline.

Price Action and Automated Trading

DragonExpertFX specializes in automated trading solutions, and price action forms a powerful foundation for developing robust Expert Advisors (EAs). How can the seemingly manual art of price action be automated?

The beauty of price action lies in its objective rules. For example:

  • "If price forms a bullish Engulfing pattern at a daily support level, and the higher timeframe trend is up, then enter a long trade."
  • "If price breaks a trend line and retests it, then forms a bearish Pin Bar, enter a short trade."

These clear, definable conditions can be translated into code for an EA. By automating price action strategies, traders can benefit from:

  • Discipline: EAs execute trades precisely according to the predefined rules, eliminating emotional biases like fear of missing out (FOMO) or revenge trading.
  • Speed: Automated systems can react to price action signals much faster than a human, capturing opportunities that might otherwise be missed.
  • Backtesting Efficiency: EAs allow for rapid and thorough backtesting of price action strategies over extensive historical data, helping to optimize parameters and validate profitability.
  • 24/5 Monitoring: The Forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. An EA can monitor charts and execute trades around the clock, even when you're away from your screen.

At DragonExpertFX, we empower traders to leverage the power of automation. Whether you're looking to implement a proven price action strategy through an EA or develop your own custom automated solution based on price action principles, our platform provides the tools and resources. Explore our range of automated trading solutions and Expert Advisors to see how you can bring discipline and efficiency to your price action trading. For more on how AI and automation are shaping the future of trading, check out AI & Automation for Adaptive Forex Trading in 2025 and Unlocking Automated Forex Success: Your Definitive Guide to Forex Robots & Expert Advisors.

Conclusion

In a Forex market characterized by persistent volatility, shifting central bank policies, and the constant influx of economic data, mastering price action trading offers a refreshing and highly effective approach. By focusing on the raw, unfiltered movements of price, you gain a direct insight into market psychology and the fundamental battle between buyers and sellers. This "naked" approach simplifies your charts, reduces confusion, and provides a leading perspective that indicators often lack.

From understanding the language of candlesticks and identifying crucial support and resistance levels to recognizing market structure and applying high-probability reversal and continuation strategies, price action empowers you to make informed decisions. It's a versatile methodology that works across all timeframes and market conditions, and it can be seamlessly integrated with automated trading solutions for disciplined and efficient execution.

While it requires patience, practice, and a keen eye for detail, the rewards of mastering price action are substantial. It builds a deeper understanding of the market, fosters confidence, and equips you with a resilient trading framework that can adapt to any market environment. Begin your journey by practicing on demo accounts, backtesting your strategies, and gradually integrating these powerful concepts into your trading plan. The secrets of the market are often hidden in plain sight, revealed through the elegant simplicity of price action.

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